Scientific-Pardon
0x5cd3a63ad643af2c6b00386407399547880ee427
Scientific-Pardon: −$453 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 14%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$453
return −9.8%
Settled bets
8
$4.6K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 14%–69%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$19
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$435
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 86¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | $1.0K |
| Sep 6 | SELL Yes
@ 77¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? | $2.0K |
| Aug 30 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? | $1.1K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | $1.2K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | $1.0K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Golden State Valkyries
@ 97¢
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun |
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun | $1.6K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Over
@ 88¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 |
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 | $1.5K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Yes
@ 69¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.