Polite-Bricklaying

0x50b1d36f631a1709761df374db0a4e4fb1f7861b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Polite-Bricklaying: +$2.7K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 26% (95% range 13%–47%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.7K
return +26.8%
Settled bets
23
$9.9K staked
Won
26.1%
95% range 13%–47%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$407
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$788
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL RED Canids @ 99.9¢
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $6.4K
Sep 30 BUY T1 Academy @ 71¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 4 Winner
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 4 Winner $2.0K
Sep 27 BUY LGD Gaming @ 41¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 24 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $3.0K
Sep 24 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $2.0K
Sep 23 SELL Team Nemesis @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage $1.8K
Sep 23 SELL Conventus Stellarum @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner $1.4K
Sep 23 SELL 1win @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed