Twin-Strike

0x48183e17a92b51605fe8e96c60b9a491f06afde0

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Twin-Strike: −$4.0K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 7%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.0K
return −62.8%
Settled bets
8
$6.3K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 7%–59%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.7K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 36¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.1K
Sep 25 SELL Minnesota Lynx @ 99.32¢
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx $1.0K
Sep 19 BUY Atlanta Dream @ 90¢
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream $1.3K
Sep 18 BUY Team WE @ 41¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 13 SELL LOUD @ 73¢
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 4 Winner
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 4 Winner $1.0K
Sep 7 BUY 9z @ 92¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
Counter-Strike: 9z vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A $1.4K
Sep 6 BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 64¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $1.5K
Sep 2 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 86¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed