Trained-Notion
0x36dafd0ed99d902f8bdfe9e090ecdc48b053907b
Trained-Notion: −$4.6K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.6K
return −42.2%
Settled bets
4
$11K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 18 – Oct 2
- +$95
- Oct 2 – Oct 17
- −$4.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,007 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes @ 96¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? ↗ | $5.8K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes @ 96¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Yes @ 99.17¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 12 | BUY No
@ 49¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | $4.9K |
| Oct 11 | SELL No @ 83¢ | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15? |
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15? | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15? |
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15? | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 64¢
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.