Sick-Trillion

0x24189b6c233a6b9a5365fe99b380673e900766c8

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Sick-Trillion: −$9.7K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 12%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$9.7K
return −23.5%
Settled bets
9
$41K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 12%–65%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$8.7K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$2.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 71¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $31K
Oct 3 SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $8.6K
Oct 3 BUY PARIVISION @ 55¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.4K
Sep 22 BUY Under @ 62¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 $4.5K
Sep 21 BUY Over @ 57¢
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5 $4.9K
Sep 20 SELL Cowboys @ 99.9¢
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) $4.0K
Sep 4 BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 77¢
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) $2.1K
Aug 21 BUY Enterprise Esports @ 45¢
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs $9.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed