Complicated-Chassis
0x1b8ffdb4ff99b4622f099465c486e4f75751cca7
Complicated-Chassis: +$1.9K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 25%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.9K
return +13.1%
Settled bets
12
$14K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 25%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$230
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Buccaneers
@ 81¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $2.7K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Mississippi State
@ 52¢
Spread: South Carolina (-3.5) |
Spread: South Carolina (-3.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Alina Charaeva
@ 40¢
Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Alina Charaeva |
Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Alina Charaeva | $1.2K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Lions
@ 50¢
Spread: Bills (-5.5) |
Spread: Bills (-5.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Toronto Blue Jays
@ 51¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays |
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Brandon Moreno
@ 49¢
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) |
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | $1.0K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Elena Rybakina
@ 51¢
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina | $1.6K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Jacob Fearnley
@ 47¢
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley |
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.