Eager-Expression
Skill vs luck
Eager-Expression on Polymarket: 12 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 39%–86%) · profit +$6.5K. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Eager-Expression: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x19ff71cc489760b54fe4b138572407325519d0d0. Data CC BY 4.0.
Eager-Expression: +$6.5K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 39%–86%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$5.9K
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$574
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY Ravens @ 39¢ | Ravens vs. Bills ↗ | $1.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Jaguars
@ 53¢
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) |
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Yes @ 28¢ | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Warriors
@ 48¢
Spread: Suns (-9.5) |
Spread: Suns (-9.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Hornets @ 37¢ | Heat vs. Hornets ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Patriots @ 41¢ | Patriots vs. Bears ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 18 | BUY Chiefs
@ 48¢
Spread: Chiefs (-7.5) |
Spread: Chiefs (-7.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 18 | BUY Eagles
@ 56¢
Spread: Panthers (-3.5) |
Spread: Panthers (-3.5) | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.