Dense-Civilization

0x09bb36b444503887dcd4ad3a9722a9432ae1f8b1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dense-Civilization: +$502 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$502
return +49.3%
Settled bets
1
$1.0K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$502
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 67¢
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? $1.0K
Sep 4 SELL No @ 69¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $2.4K
Aug 30 BUY No @ 40¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? $1.0K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed