Pointed-Musicmaking

0xfe9cf3cacc27249a7573b5777070ee4006f84cb4

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Pointed-Musicmaking: +$1.0K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.0K
return +2.8%
Settled bets
6
$36K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 23 BUY TEAM VISION @ 76¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs $1.4K
Aug 22 BUY TEAM VISION @ 99.85¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $21K
Aug 22 BUY Team Spirit @ 99¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner $1.4K
Aug 21 BUY Team Liquid @ 99¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs $1.7K
Aug 21 BUY Iron Wing @ 59¢
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs $1.8K
Aug 20 BUY Team Yandex @ 50¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Aug 20 BUY Team Yandex @ 69¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $1.9K
Aug 20 BUY Team Yandex @ 74¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $6.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed