Ajar-Well

0xfe5428c1b7fae9f29cc5ce3b393d9a77251541d6

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ajar-Well: +$976 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$976
return +48.2%
Settled bets
1
$2.0K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$976
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 23 BUY San Diego Padres @ 67¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres $2.0K
Aug 23 BUY @ 47¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks $2.9K
Aug 23 BUY @ 42¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks $2.9K
Aug 23 BUY @ 66¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks $3.9K
Aug 22 BUY @ 32¢
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox AND Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox AND Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres $4.7K
Aug 22 BUY @ 30¢
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox AND Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox AND Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres $2.0K
Aug 22 BUY @ 31¢
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox AND Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox AND Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres $2.9K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed