Hoarse-Summit-Lipstick
0xfd355d8700b8eeec578ce1df270f9eae7644f5cd
Hoarse-Summit-Lipstick: −$2.1K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 8%–48%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.1K
return −10.0%
Settled bets
14
$21K staked
Won
21.4%
95% range 8%–48%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$3.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$5.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY 9z
@ 29¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 38¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Cloud9
@ 56¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs |
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | $2.2K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Cloud9
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | $6.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 39¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | $2.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Aurora
@ 24¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Sinners
@ 34¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.