Miserable-Crab
0xfcfe7b9756da0d7ca1837e3281910d9e67ead420
Miserable-Crab: +$2.1K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$2.1K
return +22.6%
Settled bets
8
$9.4K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$682
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$590
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$850
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Paper Rex
@ 65¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 67¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $6.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Legacy
@ 56¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 66¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Luminosity
@ 69¢
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 30 | BUY LOUD
@ 55¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B |
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | $1.9K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 53¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B |
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.