Wilted-Warren

0xfc0cb8da7a6bfcb50bc3a99632d378316f0dcfc9

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wilted-Warren: +$297 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$297
return +11.3%
Settled bets
6
$2.6K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$297
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY MOUZ @ 66¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $2.6K
Sep 17 SELL Seattle Mariners @ 99.9¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels $4.3K
Sep 17 SELL Liudmila Samsonova @ 99.9¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova $3.6K
Sep 17 SELL Over @ 76¢
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 $3.0K
Sep 16 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5 $5.1K
Sep 14 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5 $11K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed