Buzzing-Litmus

0xfbe4dd438ac8f252f724f144165fc219c45593af

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Buzzing-Litmus: −$4.3K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.3K
return −62.8%
Settled bets
4
$6.9K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$3.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 SELL Team Yandex @ 95¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 8 SELL FaZe @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal - Map 2 Winner $1.4K
Sep 12 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 50¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins $1.0K
Sep 11 SELL Yes @ 86¢
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? $1.4K
Aug 27 BUY FUT Esports @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $3.9K
Aug 27 SELL Inner Circle Esports @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner $1.7K
Aug 27 BUY Inner Circle Esports @ 72¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner $2.0K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed