Skinny-Gelatin

0xfbc2fcfc2929a2701d11a87b0797a96d0c3f514c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Skinny-Gelatin: −$2.6K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.6K
return −29.7%
Settled bets
7
$8.9K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$592
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$2
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Team Yandex @ 90¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner $3.0K
Oct 7 BUY Natus Vincere @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.1K
Oct 5 BUY Legacy @ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner $1.7K
Sep 26 BUY Natus Vincere @ 84¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 24 BUY LGD Gaming @ 79¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 12 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner $2.4K
Aug 21 BUY TEAM VISION @ 65¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner $1.1K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed