Unfolded-Million
0xfb8f2d1cd6636fbe404d671a7350f571f42d842b
Unfolded-Million: +$1.8K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 33%–71%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.8K
return +7.8%
Settled bets
23
$24K staked
Won
52.2%
95% range 33%–71%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$383
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 81¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $2.6K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Gen.G
@ 58¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Sep 3 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 69¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $2.0K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Thiago Monteiro
@ 77¢
Porto: Mika Petkovic vs Thiago Monteiro |
Porto: Mika Petkovic vs Thiago Monteiro | $3.0K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Elmer Moeller
@ 64¢
Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski |
Manacor: Elmer Moeller vs Maks Kasnikowski | $1.0K |
| Sep 2 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4? | $2.0K |
| Sep 2 | SELL Calvin Hemery
@ 56¢
Plovdiv 3: Thomas Faurel vs Calvin Hemery |
Plovdiv 3: Thomas Faurel vs Calvin Hemery | $1.6K |
| Sep 1 | SELL Joel Schwaerzler
@ 99.9¢
Manacor: Max Basing vs Joel Schwaerzler |
Manacor: Max Basing vs Joel Schwaerzler | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.