Dependable-Literate

0xfb20c7b499b536121fc3cbe8aa6256cbf2ca3b5c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dependable-Literate: +$2.0K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 41% (95% range 22%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.0K
return +14.1%
Settled bets
17
$14K staked
Won
41.2%
95% range 22%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$299
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$452
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 SELL Under @ 92¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 $1.2K
Oct 7 BUY Under @ 79¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 $1.0K
Oct 6 BUY Under @ 92¢
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 6.5
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 6.5 $1.2K
Oct 6 BUY Under @ 70¢
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 $2.3K
Oct 3 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
El Salvador vs. Jamaica: O/U 3.5
El Salvador vs. Jamaica: O/U 3.5 $1.9K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Jamaica win on 2026-10-02?
Will Jamaica win on 2026-10-02? $2.0K
Oct 3 BUY Under @ 80¢
El Salvador vs. Jamaica: O/U 3.5
El Salvador vs. Jamaica: O/U 3.5 $1.5K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 49¢
Will Jamaica win on 2026-10-02?
Will Jamaica win on 2026-10-02? $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed