0xfaD5…E97A

0xfaD5b1F2d7F59BDe91dd7e2c0b170be6101AE97A

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0xfaD5…E97A: −$1.1K on 150 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 46% (95% range 38%–54%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$1.1K
return −2.2%
Settled bets
150
$50K staked
Won
46.0%
95% range 38%–54%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 5 – Sep 20
−$1.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$23
Settled profit in each two-week period since Sep 5. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −28.5% (538 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $60
bought Down @ 18¢ → lost (−$60)
BUY $51
bought Down @ 20¢ → lost (−$51)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Down @ 12¢
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily $91
Oct 6 BUY Down @ 19¢
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily $53
Oct 5 SELL Down @ 22¢
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily $69
Oct 5 BUY Down @ 23¢
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily $164
Oct 2 SELL Up @ 26¢
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily $72
Oct 2 BUY Up @ 25¢
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily $71
Oct 1 BUY Down @ 20¢
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily $54
Oct 1 SELL Down @ 20¢
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily $62

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed