Abandoned-Moose

0xfac7391e5b04ecf886bb82663b0cb16c09e878eb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Abandoned-Moose: +$12K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$12K
return +98.5%
Settled bets
4
$12K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 51%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$3.9K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$7.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 BUY Over @ 54¢
Estoril Praia vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5
Estoril Praia vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5 $2.5K
Sep 17 BUY Samira De Stefano @ 51¢
Ljubljana: Samira De Stefano vs Alice Tubello
Ljubljana: Samira De Stefano vs Alice Tubello $2.5K
Sep 9 BUY Irene Burillo Escorihuela @ 60¢
Antalya 4: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Miriam Bulgaru
Antalya 4: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Miriam Bulgaru $5.0K
Aug 26 BUY Lucie Havlickova @ 34¢
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova $2.0K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed