Querulous-Variability
0xfa011919b3ce3222620052757ee0f0c66c41f0a7
Querulous-Variability: +$1.5K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.5K
return +27.6%
Settled bets
5
$5.3K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$330
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Payton Talbott
@ 86¢
UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) |
UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) | $1.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Anthony Wint
@ 83¢
UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) |
UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Polona Hercog
@ 66¢
W75 Quinta do Lago: Naiktha Bains vs Polona Hercog |
W75 Quinta do Lago: Naiktha Bains vs Polona Hercog | $1.2K |
| Sep 1 | BUY Lorenzo Musetti
@ 78¢
US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti |
US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti | $1.2K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.