Violet-Deviation
0xf9f5ff57666688ea418a452b169e417b4826ab8c
Violet-Deviation: −$1.0K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 59% (95% range 39%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.0K
return −3.2%
Settled bets
22
$33K staked
Won
59.1%
95% range 39%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$821
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | SELL Ben Shelton
@ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov |
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov | $1.7K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Ben Shelton
@ 79¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov |
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov | $1.3K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Elina Svitolina
@ 67¢
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya |
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya | $2.1K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Tomas Etcheverry
@ 56¢
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone |
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone | $1.2K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Jiri Lehecka
@ 63¢
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas |
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | $2.0K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Emma Navarro
@ 72¢
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova |
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova | $2.3K |
| Sep 3 | BUY Ilya Ivashka
@ 86¢
Zhangjiagang: Akira Santillan vs Ilya Ivashka |
Zhangjiagang: Akira Santillan vs Ilya Ivashka | $1.0K |
| Sep 1 | BUY Remy Bertola
@ 38¢
Manacor: Remy Bertola vs Jerome Kym |
Manacor: Remy Bertola vs Jerome Kym | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.