Awkward-Psychology
0xf94f367ca1b6502c5716d97a55f018170e5a9ada
Awkward-Psychology: −$5.3K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 29%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$5.3K
return −7.9%
Settled bets
26
$67K staked
Won
46.2%
95% range 29%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$540
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$4.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | BUY No
@ 72¢
Will FK Akron Tolyatti win on 2026-09-17? |
Will FK Akron Tolyatti win on 2026-09-17? | $2.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Over
@ 56¢
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara: O/U 2.5 |
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara: O/U 2.5 | $2.0K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Nemiga
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | $3.6K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Under
@ 59¢
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 |
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | $2.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 |
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Genoa CFC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 0.5 |
Genoa CFC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 0.5 | $8.5K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Over
@ 79¢
Genoa CFC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 0.5 |
Genoa CFC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 0.5 | $6.7K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 79¢
FK Krasnodar vs. FK Akron Tolyatti: Both Teams to Score |
FK Krasnodar vs. FK Akron Tolyatti: Both Teams to Score | $3.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.