Fortunate-Nation
0xf93de2600b3a93fda7a128f1a30ad0272719fc9b
Fortunate-Nation: −$3.6K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.6K
return −95.8%
Settled bets
6
$3.8K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$2.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | SELL Titouan Droguet
@ 35¢
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Borna Gojo |
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Borna Gojo | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Valentin Royer
@ 99.9¢
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton |
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton | $2.0K |
| Sep 16 | SELL
@ 47¢
Szczecin: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro AND Biella: Jay Clarke vs Petr Brunclik AND Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon AND Guangzhou: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sergey Fomin |
Szczecin: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro AND Biella: Jay Clarke vs Petr Brunclik AND Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon AND Guangzhou: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sergey Fomin | $2.2K |
| Sep 12 | SELL
@ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton AND Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Thiago Seyboth Wild |
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton AND Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Thiago Seyboth Wild | $2.1K |
| Sep 8 | SELL
@ 99.95¢
Shanghai: Jie Cui vs Fajing Sun AND Tulln: Daniel Siniakov vs Vitaliy Sachko |
Shanghai: Jie Cui vs Fajing Sun AND Tulln: Daniel Siniakov vs Vitaliy Sachko | $1.0K |
| Sep 5 | SELL
@ 99.73¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul AND US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov AND Como: Max Schoenhaus vs Matej Dodig AND Manacor: Billy Harris vs Felix Balshaw AND US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe |
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul AND US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov AND Como: Max Schoenhaus vs Matej Dodig AND Manacor: Billy Harris vs Felix Balshaw AND US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe | $3.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY
@ 17¢
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena AND Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp AND Roehampton 2: George Loffhagen vs Michele Ribecai |
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena AND Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp AND Roehampton 2: George Loffhagen vs Michele Ribecai | $1.4K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Marvin Moeller
@ 60¢
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller |
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.