Aching-Plover
0xf70f2ba870efc32d07b366c2d685804dfa683c97
Aching-Plover: +$21K on 45 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 39%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$21K
return +18.4%
Settled bets
45
$114K staked
Won
53.3%
95% range 39%–67%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$23K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$601
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 40¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $2.8K |
| Oct 4 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 46¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Team WE
@ 99.9¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $3.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team WE
@ 96¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 71¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $4.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY KT Rolster
@ 87¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $3.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 68¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $2.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL RED Canids
@ 99.9¢
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $14K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.