Pleasing-Redhead-Digit
0xf58a0c4bf10146c27f222728131e74b37cb1b6e6
Pleasing-Redhead-Digit: −$5.4K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 14%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$5.4K
return −35.7%
Settled bets
8
$15K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 14%–69%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$5.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | SELL Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
@ 99.9¢
Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg |
Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | $6.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Down
@ 83¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | $1.6K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Filip Misolic
@ 99.9¢
Plovdiv 4: Filip Misolic vs Imanol Lopez Morillo |
Plovdiv 4: Filip Misolic vs Imanol Lopez Morillo | $6.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $5.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Filip Misolic
@ 79¢
Plovdiv 4: Filip Misolic vs Imanol Lopez Morillo |
Plovdiv 4: Filip Misolic vs Imanol Lopez Morillo | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Anna Blinkova
@ 60¢
Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna Blinkova |
Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna Blinkova | $1.8K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Anna Blinkova
@ 59¢
Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna Blinkova |
Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna Blinkova | $3.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.