Glossy-Passage
0xf55544915bfce32392875ddbe8a390e38728f95f
Glossy-Passage: −$4.2K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 25%–64%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$4.2K
return −14.8%
Settled bets
21
$28K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 25%–64%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | SELL Magic
@ 99.9¢
Magic vs. Grizzlies |
Magic vs. Grizzlies | $4.8K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Pacers
@ 99.9¢
Timberwolves vs. Pacers |
Timberwolves vs. Pacers | $3.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 95¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY TYLOO
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY G2
@ 73¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Cloud9
@ 90¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 72¢
Finland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 |
Finland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.