Miniature-Rubber

0xf03044eb7a85a04e826adc893ded416e116812e2

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Miniature-Rubber: +$7.2K on 62 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 66% (95% range 54%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$7.2K
return +4.1%
Settled bets
62
$177K staked
Won
66.1%
95% range 54%–77%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 62 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.3K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$4.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 6 BUY LGD Gaming @ 79¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 6 BUY LGD Gaming @ 82¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Sep 6 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 74¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner $1.0K
Sep 6 BUY Team WE @ 38¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner $1.1K
Sep 6 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 58¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner $1.8K
Sep 6 BUY Team WE @ 52¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner $1.0K
Sep 6 BUY Team WE @ 75¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner $1.9K
Sep 6 BUY Team WE @ 74¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner $1.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed