Arid-Fail
0xefddbb135e2cc2648e3ca6a6b3d4fa4994d5017f
Arid-Fail: −$1.4K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.4K
return −17.4%
Settled bets
2
$8.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 38¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-15? |
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-15? | $2.6K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Under
@ 57¢
AS Trenčín vs. FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda: O/U 3.5 |
AS Trenčín vs. FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda: O/U 3.5 | $5.7K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.