Frivolous-Hesitation
0xef4f4b4d3786e53a2cdd9e06e8d62df655a04598
Frivolous-Hesitation: +$719 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$719
return +12.0%
Settled bets
4
$6.0K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$540
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$86
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Anthony Wint
@ 81¢
UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) |
UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | $5.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Michael Aswell
@ 92¢
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims) |
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims) | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
O/U 1.5 Rounds |
O/U 1.5 Rounds | $1.0K |
| Sep 2 | SELL Ignacio Buse
@ 78¢
US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse |
US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse | $1.9K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.