Female-Clearance

0xee46244ad537c04587140becf8418eccc18ffaa0

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Female-Clearance: −$7.4K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 20%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$7.4K
return −20.8%
Settled bets
18
$36K staked
Won
38.9%
95% range 20%–61%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$13K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$6.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY No @ 54¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score $1.0K
Sep 14 BUY No @ 49¢
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score $1.0K
Sep 13 BUY Legacy @ 53¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 13 BUY Legacy @ 64¢
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) $3.4K
Sep 12 BUY Anyones Legend @ 15¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 12 BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 16¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs $1.4K
Sep 12 BUY Team Vitality @ 47¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs $3.0K
Sep 4 BUY Team Vitality @ 41¢
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed