Quixotic-Advertising

0xed88c79dfaa0c36db1d4fa8ea4da612f81a3e838

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Quixotic-Advertising: +$1.8K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.8K
return +9.7%
Settled bets
7
$18K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$1.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

In the live feed

SELL $5.0K
sold Casper Ruud @ 99.9¢ → won

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 SELL Casper Ruud @ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud $5.0K
Oct 11 BUY Hurricanes @ 67¢
Hurricanes vs. Flyers
Hurricanes vs. Flyers $6.0K
Oct 11 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner $9.0K
Oct 11 BUY Alexander Zverev @ 89¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys $6.5K
Oct 11 SELL Ducks @ 99.9¢
Ducks vs. Flames
Ducks vs. Flames $1.3K
Oct 9 BUY Lorenzo Musetti @ 61¢
Set Handicap: Lorenzo Musetti (-1.5) vs Yi Zhou (+1.5)
Set Handicap: Lorenzo Musetti (-1.5) vs Yi Zhou (+1.5) $4.0K
Oct 9 BUY Francisco Cerundolo @ 50¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin $2.0K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed