Frail-Progenitor-Disposition
0xed54fb08649a8396c9835c4778b14dfeddce7c7e
Frail-Progenitor-Disposition: +$17K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 94% (95% range 74%–99%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).
Profit
+$17K
return +29.5%
Settled bets
18
$59K staked
Won
94.4%
95% range 74%–99%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$11K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$6.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6 | BUY Elise Mertens
@ 58¢
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens |
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens | $2.9K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Iva Jovic
@ 61¢
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala |
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala | $3.2K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Cloud9
@ 51¢
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner | $2.1K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Alexander Blockx
@ 86¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli |
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli | $6.2K |
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 63¢
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-05? |
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-05? | $1.8K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Spirit
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Emma Navarro
@ 64¢
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova |
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova | $1.9K |
| Sep 4 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-09-04? |
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-09-04? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.