Small-Reliability
0xec2391c5a870d5330eccd4f66134327729af91da
Small-Reliability: +$3 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$3
return +0.1%
Settled bets
2
$2.3K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23 | BUY Yes
@ 99.87¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24? | $1.2K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 22? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 22? | $1.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.