Reckless-Credential

0xebc0e70751b70bb7858a918eca36f3cb9f925806

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Reckless-Credential: −$1.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.3K
return −27.9%
Settled bets
6
$4.8K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.5K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$110
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 21 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-09-20?
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-09-20? $1.1K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo win on 2026-09-18?
Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo win on 2026-09-18? $1.1K
Sep 17 BUY Yes @ 90¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? $1.0K
Sep 15 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will CA Platense win on 2026-09-15?
Will CA Platense win on 2026-09-15? $1.3K
Sep 4 BUY Yes @ 80¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04? $1.5K
Sep 4 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04? $2.3K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed