Long-Ability
0xea83902f60f4329c8f55d8cb921aae5878cfe0cc
Long-Ability: −$11K on 34 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 32%–63%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$11K
return −24.5%
Settled bets
34
$44K staked
Won
47.1%
95% range 32%–63%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.8K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$7.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Duke
@ 57¢
Duke vs. Illinois |
Duke vs. Illinois | $1.4K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Purdue
@ 61¢
Wake Forest vs. Purdue |
Wake Forest vs. Purdue | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Purdue
@ 64¢
Wake Forest vs. Purdue |
Wake Forest vs. Purdue | $2.3K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Wake Forest
@ 34¢
Wake Forest vs. Purdue |
Wake Forest vs. Purdue | $1.9K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Wake Forest
@ 46¢
Wake Forest vs. Purdue |
Wake Forest vs. Purdue | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Wake Forest
@ 63¢
Wake Forest vs. Purdue |
Wake Forest vs. Purdue | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Wake Forest
@ 78¢
Wake Forest vs. Purdue |
Wake Forest vs. Purdue | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Missouri
@ 73¢
Missouri vs. Kansas |
Missouri vs. Kansas | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.