Favorable-Glove

0xe98bc0ab60a58c5838a53d646a846206f1795905

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Favorable-Glove: +$14K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 35%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$14K
return +61.5%
Settled bets
9
$22K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 35%–88%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$4.0K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$9.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Team Spirit @ 37¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $4.8K
Oct 10 BUY PARIVISION @ 67¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $5.0K
Sep 30 BUY LGD Gaming @ 20¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.1K
Aug 23 BUY TEAM VISION @ 51¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $2.0K
Aug 23 BUY Team Spirit @ 74¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $3.0K
Aug 23 BUY Team Spirit @ 50¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner $1.8K
Aug 22 BUY TEAM VISION @ 52¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Aug 22 BUY Team Liquid @ 50¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed