Ornery-Bricklaying

0xe8962daa681ac36a18e737ab4449aae2a284a4c7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ornery-Bricklaying: +$1.1K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.1K
return +30.6%
Settled bets
5
$3.7K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.2K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$90
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 18 BUY Team WE @ 59¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner $1.2K
Sep 18 BUY Team WE @ 48¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Aug 30 BUY LYON @ 54¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner $1.5K
Aug 28 BUY @ 68¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs $1.2K
Aug 21 SELL Team Vitality @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season $1.6K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed