Unfortunate-Hut

0xe8885aebf92c5b6a7ef5d4ee0c79ec6616930364

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unfortunate-Hut: +$4.6K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.6K
return +65.7%
Settled bets
4
$7.0K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$6
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$4.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY PARIVISION @ 44¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $6.2K
Oct 3 BUY NIP @ 62¢
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs $4.0K
Oct 3 SELL Nemiga @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $13K
Oct 3 BUY Nemiga @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $3.0K
Oct 2 SELL Luminosity @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $5.9K
Sep 14 SELL ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix @ 99.9¢
LoL: BIG vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
LoL: BIG vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs $6.2K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed