Perky-Lard-Bassinet

0xe760b6327dfdeb66a9782f033d257b79c474f2f9

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$72K
return +46.5%
Settled bets
25
$155K staked
Won
52.0%
95% range 34%–70%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$72K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 23 Bought Team Spirit at 54¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs $26K
Aug 23 Bought TEAM VISION at 61¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner $8.0K
Aug 23 Bought Team Spirit at 52¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner $6.8K
Aug 23 Bought Team Spirit at 50¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner $7.7K
Aug 23 Bought TEAM VISION at 48¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $3.0K
Aug 23 Bought TEAM VISION at 58¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $1.9K
Aug 23 Bought TEAM VISION at 57¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $7.7K
Aug 23 Sold Team Spirit at 99.9¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner $5.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed