Elaborate-Pilot
Skill vs luck
Elaborate-Pilot on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$3.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Elaborate-Pilot: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe5b442398c57c3916cde0ecfc4c79bb45ceeb039. Data CC BY 4.0.
Elaborate-Pilot: −$3.7K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- −$3.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY Inner Circle Esports
@ 49¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Nuggets @ 60¢ | Nuggets vs. Pelicans ↗ | $3.9K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Liquid @ 18¢ | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.