United-Upward

0xe5241830e8876c115d7dc8311ad9f43d85fdd34f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

United-Upward: −$1.6K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −15.4%
Settled bets
5
$10K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 26 BUY Lloyd Harris @ 41¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris $1.2K
Aug 23 BUY Anthony Wint @ 88¢
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims) $4.9K
Aug 22 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-22?
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-22? $5.0K
Aug 22 BUY Lerryan Douglas @ 77¢
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims) $1.5K
Aug 22 BUY Yes @ 55¢
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22? $2.5K
Aug 19 BUY Max Purcell @ 46¢
Kingston: Max Purcell vs Harold Mayot
Kingston: Max Purcell vs Harold Mayot $2.8K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed