Winged-Effector-Saffron
0xe4c11e2fa718b15bdc7c8bcaa685b06f60457bed
Winged-Effector-Saffron: −$9.2K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$9.2K
return −29.8%
Settled bets
3
$31K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$9.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | BUY St. Louis Cardinals
@ 43¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | $11K |
| Sep 23 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 47¢
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $9.8K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 47¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | $4.7K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 47¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | $5.5K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.