Anchored-Blackboard

0xe4b14e55bbfd549b913108dbcaa344391c2ba75e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Anchored-Blackboard: −$685 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$685
return −2.2%
Settled bets
6
$31K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$23K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$24K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY @ 13¢
Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? AND Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? AND Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? AND Will Serbia win on 2026-09-24?
Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? AND Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? AND Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? AND Will Serbia win on 2026-09-24? $1.9K
Sep 17 BUY @ 6¢
Vikings vs. Bears AND Lions vs. Bills AND Steelers vs. Patriots AND Colts vs. Chiefs
Vikings vs. Bears AND Lions vs. Bills AND Steelers vs. Patriots AND Colts vs. Chiefs $1.6K
Sep 12 BUY Bengals @ 43¢
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)
Spread: Bengals (-6.5) $8.9K
Sep 9 BUY Alexander Blockx @ 22¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx $3.1K
Sep 8 BUY Emma Navarro @ 22¢
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro $6.0K
Sep 7 BUY Iva Jovic @ 28¢
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Coco Gauff
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Coco Gauff $6.1K
Sep 4 BUY Emma Navarro @ 22¢
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova $5.5K
Sep 2 SELL Yunchaokete Bu @ 89¢
US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete Bu
US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete Bu $4.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed