Mediocre-Optimisation-Flock
0xe3cb28f7c62ac636f407014005499d2687b5ac21
Mediocre-Optimisation-Flock: +$13K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$13K
return +23.7%
Settled bets
6
$53K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$8.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$4.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 89¢
Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | $23K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | $7.2K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 87¢
Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | $1.4K |
| Aug 22 | BUY BoomBoys
@ 57¢
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | $3.2K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 47¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | $2.2K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 78¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner | $12K |
| Aug 20 | BUY BoomBoys
@ 31¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Aug 20 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 74¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.