Notable-Carrier
0xe30e74595517de48f1fb19f4553dd3d9f1e96b87
Notable-Carrier: +$102K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 71% (95% range 36%–92%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$102K
return +39.8%
Settled bets
7
$256K staked
Won
71.4%
95% range 36%–92%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$69K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$33K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 54¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $32K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 60¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $39K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 64¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $13K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Sergey Betov
@ 9¢
Wuning 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Sergey Betov |
Wuning 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Sergey Betov | $7.7K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Blake Bayldon
@ 19¢
Wuning 3: Blake Bayldon vs Taisei Ichikawa |
Wuning 3: Blake Bayldon vs Taisei Ichikawa | $27K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Federico Arnaboldi
@ 80¢
Bari: Federico Arnaboldi vs Svyatoslav Gulin |
Bari: Federico Arnaboldi vs Svyatoslav Gulin | $46K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Mees Rottgering
@ 65¢
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac |
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac | $5.8K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Mees Rottgering
@ 63¢
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac |
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac | $7.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.