Formal-Kale

0xe13f305c21b1dcddd595382c005fc32f1a8fc817

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Formal-Kale: −$4.0K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 22% (95% range 6%–55%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.0K
return −64.8%
Settled bets
9
$6.1K staked
Won
22.2%
95% range 6%–55%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$4.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 2 BUY No @ 56¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Texas Rangers $3.9K
Sep 2 SELL Yes @ 60¢
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: Both Teams to Score
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: Both Teams to Score $1.0K
Aug 29 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 $1.7K
Aug 29 BUY LGD Gaming @ 91¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.1K
Aug 26 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays $3.9K
Aug 26 BUY No @ 58¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins $1.1K
Aug 26 SELL HANJIN BRION @ 99.9¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner $1.1K
Aug 26 SELL HANJIN BRION @ 99.9¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed