Drab-Novel
0xdee31034faa022b8a324eeb8496798735d5a6fe5
Drab-Novel: −$8.9K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 45%–83%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$8.9K
return −11.7%
Settled bets
21
$76K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 45%–83%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$8.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.8K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$3.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 49.5 |
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 49.5 | $3.5K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 84¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 82¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 11¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $2.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF? |
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF? | $3.0K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 19¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $2.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 48¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Sep 8 | BUY G2
@ 46¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.