Esteemed-Screen
0xde0a3c61ef2c9d98794e388274857d45f904f102
Esteemed-Screen: −$7.6K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 47%–91%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$7.6K
return −19.0%
Settled bets
12
$40K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 47%–91%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$8.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$278
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$753
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY KT Rolster
@ 88¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $5.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Top Esports
@ 98¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 45¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | $1.8K |
| Sep 12 | BUY T1
@ 43¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Bilibili Gaming
@ 99.1¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 55¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 56¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 56¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.