Jaunty-News-Backbone
0xdd92daf151fe1d21a771d6bde1c8ddffd4f09931
Jaunty-News-Backbone: +$8.3K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 34%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$8.3K
return +9.3%
Settled bets
18
$89K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 34%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$34K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$28K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Packers
@ 44¢
Spread: Packers (-3.5) |
Spread: Packers (-3.5) | $4.0K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Eagles
@ 48¢
Spread: Eagles (-3.5) |
Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | $6.6K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Eagles
@ 45¢
Spread: Eagles (-5.5) |
Spread: Eagles (-5.5) | $6.8K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Florida
@ 84¢
Ole Miss vs. Florida |
Ole Miss vs. Florida | $2.9K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Under
@ 49¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 |
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | $1.8K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 38¢
Spread: Packers (-7.5) |
Spread: Packers (-7.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 45¢
Spread: Packers (-6.5) |
Spread: Packers (-6.5) | $6.6K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 39¢
Spread: Packers (-7.5) |
Spread: Packers (-7.5) | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.