Natural-Gauntlet

0xdc0e23ef31cd155a40e9c0b06e17d946878993ab

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Natural-Gauntlet: −$4.0K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.0K
return −98.2%
Settled bets
2
$4.1K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$4.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 13 BUY No @ 96¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? $2.9K
Sep 13 BUY No @ 96¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? $1.2K
Sep 13 SELL Yes @ 58¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? $5.8K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed